Archive for November, 2008

Rates to fall to 3.75pc within six months: NAB
Wednesday, November 12th, 2008

The official cash rate could drop as low as 3.75 per cent by early next year, according to forecasts by NAB.

NAB said yesterday its October Business Survey and Economic Outlook had revealed record low business confidence and a sharp deterioration in business conditions.

With downside risks to growth strong, NAB adjusted its forecast for the official cash rate to 3.75 per cent for early 2009 – previously 4.5 per cent for mid-2009.

“We expect another 75 point rate cut in December and then another 75 basis points in early 2009,” NAB said.

This would certainly be welcome news for all property investors.

Until next time, happy investing.

Filed under: Real Estate, Updates & Announcements, World Financial Crisis, finance — Tags: — Lee Sutherland @ 11:20 am
Have I just witnessed the turn in the market?
Wednesday, November 5th, 2008

I have just seen the first positive media report on the property market for a long long time. A Current Affair, on the Nine network, reported on the top 100 suburbs to buy real estate. This is the first media report that has not been negative since the world financial crisis has hit. With all the indicators showing that property prices should rise, all that is missing now is confidence. The media unfortunately play a large role in affecting consumer confidence. Lets hope that this is the first in many positive media reports to come.

Happy investing!

Filed under: Lee's Thoughts, Real Estate, World Financial Crisis — Tags: , — Lee Sutherland @ 7:53 pm
Interest rates slashed by 75 basis points!
Tuesday, November 4th, 2008

Below is the RBA announcement:

At its meeting today, the Board decided to reduce the cash rate by 75 basis points to 5.25 per cent, effective 5 November 2008.

World financial markets have remained turbulent over the past month. Global equity prices have been volatile and fell further in net terms, and there have been significant exchange rate movements, including a sharp depreciation of the Australian dollar. A number of governments have announced measures to strengthen their financial systems, which should help to stabilise conditions over time.

International economic data have continued to point to significant weakness in the major industrial economies, and there have been further signs that China and other parts of the developing world are slowing as well. These conditions have contributed to further falls in world commodity prices.

In Australia, the overall path of economic activity appears until recently to have been close to what the Board had expected, with a needed moderation in demand occurring after a period of earlier strength. Recent reductions in borrowing rates, the depreciation of the exchange rate and the fiscal stimulus announced in October will work to assist growth in the period ahead, but deteriorating international conditions and falling commodity prices will have a dampening influence. On balance, it appears likely that spending and activity will be weaker than earlier expected.

Consumer price inflation in Australia remained high in the September quarter. As expected, CPI inflation in year ended terms picked up to 5 per cent, while underlying measures were just over 4½ per cent. Nonetheless, capacity pressures are now easing and, given the outlook for more moderate growth in demand and activity, it is reasonable to expect that inflation in Australia will soon start to fall. Global disinflationary forces will assist in this regard, though the depreciation of the exchange rate means that the decline of inflation to the target could take longer than would otherwise be the case.

Weighing up these international and domestic developments, the Board judged that a further significant reduction in the cash rate was warranted. The Board will continue to monitor developments and make adjustments as needed to promote sustainable growth consistent with achieving the 2-3 per cent inflation target over time.

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This is certainly good news for all borrowers with the cut being larger than the 50 basis points cut the market had anticipated. That now makes a total of 175 basis point cut in interest rates in just two months. It will be interesting to see if this has any effect on property prices given the lack of confidence that is dominating the market at present.

Till next time….happy investing.

Filed under: Real Estate, Updates & Announcements, World Financial Crisis, finance — Tags: — Lee Sutherland @ 2:25 pm